The Hearing 

Donald Trump’s four criminal trials, both federal and state cases, have seemed confusing for many. All four of the cases have different timetables, while some may not reach a verdict before Election Day.  

The cases that will not reach the verdict before November could potentially lead to Trump’s success, or his downfall. His defense strategy revolves around the delay of these cases, because if the verdict is reached in 2025 it may not be relevant by the next election. 

These verdicts all have a toll on the factor of the 2024 election. A recent questionnaire found that one quarter of Trump’s supporters have stated that if he is found guilty, he should not be the Republican nominee for president. 

One of the trials that may find a verdict before the election date is the Stormy Danial trial. This case accuses Trump of falsifying business records to cover up his alleged affair with Stormy Danials. Another trial is the Classified Documents trial, which is set to find a verdict on May 20. This case states that Trump took sensitive government documents form the White House, as well as obstructing the government’s efforts to retrieve them. 

Big Win for Trump in Iowa  

With a wider pool of nominees for the republican party’s representative, there was some question as to if someone else would pick up the title this year. Despite extensive debate on the topic, voters in Iowa seemed to have settled the subject. Trump ended up winning the vote with a whopping 51% of votes in the state. DeSantis came behind at around 21%, and Nikki Haley came in at 19% of the vote. 

It was expected for the most part for Trump to win the Republican nomination, although somewhat surprising for Iowa in particular. In past years, the former president had received much less support from the state. Because of this, Iowa was expected to be more of a challenge with winning over support. 

Another surprising element is the types of voters that supported his candidacy most. It was noted that the more conservative and working class voters opted for Trump in Iowa. (Some of the more conservative residents opted away from him back in 2016.) Most of the votes that came through for DeSantis and Haley were from the younger generations.

While this does not in any way define or predict the outcome of support from other states in selecting the nominee, it can give us a somewhat clearer picture of what is likely to happen.

Cites 

https://messaging-custom-newsletters.nytimes.com/dynamic/render?campaign_id=9&emc=edit_nn_20240109&instance_id=112054&nl=the-morning&paid_regi=2&productCode=NN&regi_id=203945409&segment_id=154673&te=1&uri=nyt%3A%2F%2Fnewsletter%2F702bb79d-7ee4-5f67-859d-5a738a942049&user_id=3fe21e664b55fe464921a4393ad1b5e4

https://www.google.com/url?sa=i&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.brookings.edu%2Farticles%2Fwin-or-lose-trump-was-the-mirror-america-needed%2F&psig=AOvVaw2_6oeuVHow-541oKJY7uAR&ust=1705593468274000&source=images&cd=vfe&opi=89978449&ved=0CBEQjRxqFwoTCJDkjfrk5IMDFQAAAAAdAAAAABAQ

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